Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 13, 2021 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
1 - 2
Estoril

Boselli (50')
Boselli (22'), Dadasov (75')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jorge Tavares Oliveira (20'), Acevedo (44')
Soria (8'), Geraldes (36'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (74'), Gamboa (78'), Rosier (78'), Figueira (81'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Estoril Praia
25.7%	27.25%	47.05%

Both teams to score 45.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.36%

58.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.81%

79.19%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28%

38.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54%

75.46%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03%

24.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39%

59.61%

Score Analysis

Tondela 25.7%

Estoril Praia 47.05%

Draw 27.24%

Tondela	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.7%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 13.41% 0-2 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-3 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.49% 1-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.26% Total : 47.05%