Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela1 - 3Porto
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.04%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Porto |
| 13.45% | 21.1% | 65.46% |
| Both teams to score 44.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% | 50.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.71% | 48.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.56% | 83.45% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% | 14.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.99% | 43.01% |
| Score Analysis |
Tondela 13.45%
Porto 65.45%
Draw 21.1%
| Tondela | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.19% 2-1 @ 3.61% 2-0 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.75% Total : 13.45% | 1-1 @ 9.93% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 13.64% 0-2 @ 13.04% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 8.32% 1-3 @ 6.06% 0-4 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-5 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.14% Total : 65.45% |
How you voted: Tondela vs Porto
Tondela
9.1%Draw
6.1%Porto
84.8%33
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2019 8.15pm
