Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 2, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Diaz (44'), Wendell (52')
Taremi (16'), Wendell (30'), Pepe (54')
Taremi (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Santos (19')
Ferreira (17'), Antunes (32'), Denilson (40'), Delgado (79'), Baixinho (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
63.98%	20.9%	15.12%

Both teams to score 48.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.29%

46.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.03%

68.98%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1%

13.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.67%

41.33%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69%

43.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45%

79.55%

Score Analysis

Porto 63.97%

Pacos de Ferreira 15.12%

Draw 20.9%

Porto	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11.88% 2-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.63% Total : 63.97%	1-1 @ 9.94% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.9%	0-1 @ 5.04% 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-2 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.12%