Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
43.89% | 28.74% | 27.37% |
Both teams to score 43.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.27% | 62.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.73% | 82.27% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.52% | 28.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.75% | 64.25% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.43% | 39.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.74% | 76.25% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 8.24% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.58% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.43% Total : 27.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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