Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 11, 2021 at 4pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
1 - 3
Belenenses

Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (33'), Almeida (36'), Olabe (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Cassierra (20', 59'), Cardoso (39' pen.)
Varela (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Belenenses
37.22%	28.61%	34.17%

Both teams to score 45.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49%

60.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.38%

80.62%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76%

31.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42%

67.58%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79%

33.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18%

69.82%

Score Analysis

Tondela 37.22%

Belenenses 34.17%

Draw 28.6%

Tondela	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 3% Total : 37.22%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.6%	0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.17%