Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Gil Vicente |
27.58% | 29.57% | 42.85% |
Both teams to score 41.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.84% | 65.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16% | 84% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% | 40.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% | 77.35% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% | 30.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% | 66.43% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 5.94% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.58% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 12.33% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.56% | 0-1 @ 14.74% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.05% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.31% Total : 42.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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