Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 31, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril
0 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Patrick (31'), Joaozinho (45+1'), Arthur (52'), Soria (64'), Gamboa (90+4')
Arthur (75')

Pires (35'), Lima (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Pacos de Ferreira

After a brilliant start to life in the Primeira Liga, Estoril Praia appear to have run out of steam in recent weeks as they find themselves struggling to string together a decent run of form. Despite being lower in the standings, Pacos de Ferreira head into the game as the more in-form side and we are tipping them to claim the win and heap more misery on the floundering hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
35.23%	27.95%	36.83%

Both teams to score 47.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.92%

58.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.25%

78.75%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73%

31.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38%

67.62%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74%

30.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56%

66.44%

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 35.22%

Pacos de Ferreira 36.82%

Draw 27.94%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.22%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.82%