Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 10, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 1
Gil Vicente

Denilson (11'), Carlos (26'), Ibrahim (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leautey (90+5')
Carlos (40'), Carvalho (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente will head into the game in sky-high confidence following their impressive win over Famalicao last time out. They appear to have found their rhythm and we are tipping them to come away with all three points against an out-of-sorts Pacos de Ferreira side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Gil Vicente
23.87%	26.49%	49.64%

Both teams to score 46.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.77%

57.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92%

78.08%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4%

39.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72%

76.28%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86%

23.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43%

57.01%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 23.87%

Gil Vicente 49.64%

Draw 26.49%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 5.76% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.4% Total : 23.87%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 13.41% 0-2 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-3 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.64%