Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
33.64% | 29.53% | 36.83% |
Both teams to score 43.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.35% | 63.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.06% | 82.94% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% | 35.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% | 72% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% | 33.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% | 69.69% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.63% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.52% | 0-1 @ 12.89% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |