Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
28.62% | 28.33% | 43.05% |
Both teams to score 44.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.13% | 60.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.1% | 80.89% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% | 37.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% | 74.28% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% | 63.69% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.62% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 13.36% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-3 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.15% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.7% Total : 43.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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