Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.