Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
44.3% | 27.6% | 28.1% |
Both teams to score 46.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.43% | 58.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.86% | 79.14% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% | 26.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.57% | 61.43% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% | 36.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% | 73.44% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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