Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Oct 2, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Andre (83' pen.)
Suliman (75'), Silvio (79'), Duarte (88'), Varela (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marcelo (68'), Baixinho (90+4')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Pacos de Ferreira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
49.22%	26.65%	24.13%

Both teams to score 46.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.4%

57.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63%

78.37%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51%

23.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48%

57.52%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.44%

39.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75%

76.25%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.22%

Pacos de Ferreira 24.13%

Draw 26.65%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.46% 2-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.58% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.3% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.13%