Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.