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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw has a probability of 18% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (3.74%).
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Newport County |
69.33% ( -0.19) | 18.03% ( 0.09) | 12.64% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.73% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% ( -0.13) | 39.35% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.31% ( -0.14) | 61.69% ( 0.14) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.73% ( -0.08) | 10.26% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.37% ( -0.19) | 33.63% ( 0.2) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.64% ( 0.09) | 42.36% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.25% ( 0.07) | 78.74% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Newport County |
2-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.49% Total : 69.33% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.03% | 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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