National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Treyew Road
Truro City2 - 1Chesham
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Chesham United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Chesham 2-0 Worthing
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
Result | ||
Truro City | Draw | Chesham United |
37.1% ( -0) | 27.37% ( 0) | 35.52% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.13% ( 0.01) | 55.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.02% ( 0.01) | 76.98% ( -0.01) |
Truro City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( 0) | 29.01% ( -0) |