National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow
Chesham3 - 1Chippenham
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Chippenham Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Chesham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Chippenham 3-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesham United | Draw | Chippenham Town |
48.25% ( 0.3) | 24.23% ( -0.11) | 27.51% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% ( 0.34) | 45.56% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( 0.32) | 67.89% ( -0.33) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( 0.25) | 18.97% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.49% ( 0.42) | 50.51% ( -0.42) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.04) | 30.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.61% ( 0.05) | 66.39% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Chesham United 48.25%
Chippenham Town 27.51%
Draw 24.23%
| Chesham United | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.51% |
Form Guide
