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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
1 - 3
Chesham

John Martin (90+8')
Taylor-Crossdale (52'), Chukwu (57')
Taylor-Crossdale (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weiser (26'), Rowe (78'), Weiss (85')
Gallimore (64'), Rowe (77')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 2-3 Torquay Utd
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawChesham United
40.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 33.4% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.82% (0.032000000000004 0.03)50.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.86% (0.026 0.03)72.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.029999999999994 0.03)58.76% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.012 0.01)28.52% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.3% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 40.69%
    Chesham United 33.4%
    Draw 25.9%
Welling UnitedDrawChesham United
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.4%

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