MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 23:56:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
1 - 2
Chesham

Jeffers (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Minhas (22', 82')
Esan (9'), Brown (69')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 1-2 Weston
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesham United in this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawChesham United
36.9% (-0.226 -0.23) 24.75% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 38.36% (0.145 0.14)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (-0.39 -0.39)44.48% (0.38999999999999 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (-0.38 -0.38)66.85% (0.38 0.38)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22% (-0.301 -0.3)23.78% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (-0.431 -0.43)57.94% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)23.02% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-0.149 -0.15)56.83% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 36.9%
    Chesham United 38.36%
    Draw 24.74%
St Albans CityDrawChesham United
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 38.36%

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