MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:19:12| >> :60:127:127:
Copa Sudamericana | Final
Nov 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cruzeiro

Racing
3 - 1
Cruzeiro

Martirena (15'), Martinez (21'), Martinez (90+6')
Garcia Basso (59'), Ignacio Nardoni (82'), Di Cesare (83'), Martinez (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jorge (53')
Romero (42'), Silva (45+3'), Pereira (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Racing Club and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-2 Racing
Sunday, November 17 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, November 20 at 2pm in Brasileiro

We said: Racing Club 1-0 Cruzeiro

 Racing Club have been in their share of close games of late, and we believe that experience and their strong form will be enough to get the better of Cruzeiro, who should put up a good fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawCruzeiro
54.6% (3.921 3.92) 25.63% (-1.488 -1.49) 19.77% (-2.43 -2.43)
Both teams to score 43.87% (0.801 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (2.688 2.69)57.99% (-2.686 -2.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (2.071 2.07)78.68% (-2.069 -2.07)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (2.847 2.85)21.32% (-2.845 -2.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (4.217 4.22)54.27% (-4.215 -4.22)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.76% (-1.039 -1.04)44.24% (1.041 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.68% (-0.859 -0.86)80.32% (0.861 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 54.58%
    Cruzeiro 19.77%
    Draw 25.63%
Racing ClubDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.819 0.82)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.549 0.55)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.473 0.47)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.174 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.343 0.34)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 54.58%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.56 -0.56)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.998 -1)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-1.069 -1.07)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.541 -0.54)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.77%

How you voted: Racing vs Cruzeiro

Racing Club
64.3%
Draw
17.9%
Cruzeiro
17.9%
28
Head to Head
May 23, 2018 1.30am
-
Cruzeiro
2-1
Racing
Neves (3'), Silva (11')
Robinho (44'), Leo (71'), Romero (90')
Centurion (28')
Solari (41'), Martinez (67'), Barbieri (70'), Gonzalez (88')
Feb 28, 2018 12.30am
-
Racing
4-2
Cruzeiro
Martinez (14', 45', 63'), Solari (77')
Martinez (51'), Saravia (74')
Saravia (89')
De Arrascaeta (30'), Robinho (70')
Mancuello (85')
rhs 2.0
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