MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:31:33| >> :60:149:149:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Cruzeiro

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Cruzeiro

Cavani (65')
Fernandez (23'), Martinez (24'), Zeballos (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (23'), Walace (30'), Romero (41'), Diaz (43'), Arthur (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Boca Juniors and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, August 10 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Boca Juniors 2-0 Cruzeiro

 Having won just two of their last eight away games, Cruzeiro will need to be at their best at the Estadio Alberto Jose Armando as they look to take a first-leg advantage back to Brazil. However, Boca Juniors have been near impenetrable on home turf and we are backing them to come away with the desired results Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawCruzeiro
50.31% (0.137 0.14) 26.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.24% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.89% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.4% (-0.136 -0.14)57.6% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63% (-0.107 -0.11)78.37% (0.107 0.11)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.0030000000000001 0)23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)56.8% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.215 -0.21)40.4% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.195 -0.19)77.02% (0.19500000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 50.29%
    Cruzeiro 23.24%
    Draw 26.45%
Boca JuniorsDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.65% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.03% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.29% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 23.24%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro

Boca Juniors
58.8%
Draw
35.3%
Cruzeiro
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2018 1.45am
-
Cruzeiro
1-1
Boca Juniors
Sassa (58')
Egidio (36'), Dede (51'), Rafael (78')
Dede (81')
Pavon (94')
Perez (22'), Pavon (78'), Nandez (96')
Sep 20, 2018 1.45am
-
Boca Juniors
2-0
Cruzeiro
Zarate (36'), Perez (82')
Olaza (55'), Nandez (90')

Mendes (92')
Dede (75')
rhs 2.0
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