Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 26, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza4 - 2Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: River Plate 2-3 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Boca Juniors |
56.14% ( 0.01) | 25.44% ( -0.27) | 18.42% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 42.38% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
