Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors2 - 1San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-2 Racing
Monday, March 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, March 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, March 21 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, March 21 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | San Lorenzo |
55.69% ( -0.19) | 27.7% ( 0.06) | 16.61% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 34.66% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.56% ( -0.02) | 67.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.44% ( -0.01) | 85.56% ( 0.01) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.1) | 24.93% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.13) | 59.56% ( 0.13) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.18% ( 0.17) | 53.82% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.83% ( 0.1) | 87.16% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Boca Juniors 55.68%
San Lorenzo 16.61%
Draw 27.69%
| Boca Juniors | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 18.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 55.68% | 0-0 @ 13.41% 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.61% |
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 12
San Lorenzo
1-1
Boca Juniors
Apr 12, 2023 9.30pm
Jul 28, 2021 1am
Form Guide
