Boca Juniors1 - 0Independiente
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, July 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
for
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Boca Juniors 1-0 Independiente del Valle (Boca Juniors advance 1-0 on aggregate)
These are two sides with a vast array of experience in knockout matches of this magnitude and with little to choose between them, we are giving the edge to Boca given their home form, but it could go either way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
61.66% ( -0.17) | 22.1% ( 0.09) | 16.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
