Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro1 - 1Lanus
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
36
We said: Cruzeiro 1-0 Lanus
While Lanus have a dangerous attacking player in Walter Bou, his teammates have not provided him great service over the past few weeks, and we trust Cruzeiro's overall depth to claim a narrow victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Lanus |
52.86% ( -0.06) | 26.95% ( 0.12) | 20.2% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
