Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.62% . A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 22.88% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.38%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%) , while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.76%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
Result Lanus Draw LDU Quito 51.62% ( 0.09) 25.5% ( 0.08) 22.88% ( -0.17)
Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0.4)
45.53% ( -0.43) 54.47% ( 0.44)
24.17% ( -0.36) 75.83% ( 0.36)
78.87% ( -0.14) 21.13% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.03% ( -0.21) 53.97% ( 0.21)
61.02% ( -0.4) 38.98% ( 0.4)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.29% ( -0.38) 75.7% ( 0.38)
Lanus 51.61%
LDU Quito 22.88%
Draw 25.5%
Lanus Draw LDU Quito 1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.61% 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.5% 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 22.88%
How you voted: Lanus vs LDU Quito
18
rhs 2.0
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