Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Lanus2 - 1Deportivo Garcilaso
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Deportivo Garcilaso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Lanus
Sunday, April 7 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 7 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 Metropolitanos
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Deportivo Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Deportivo Garcilaso |
67.68% ( 0.06) | 20.23% ( -0.02) | 12.08% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.85% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( -0.03) | 50.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% ( -0.03) | 72.27% ( 0.03) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% ( 0.01) | 13.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.64% ( 0.02) | 41.36% ( -0.02) |
| Deportivo Garcilaso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.77% ( -0.09) | 50.23% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.18% ( -0.06) | 84.81% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Lanus 67.67%
Deportivo Garcilaso 12.08%
Draw 20.23%
| Lanus | Draw | Deportivo Garcilaso |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 67.67% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.23% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 12.08% |
