Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.