CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 2nd Leg
Mar 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense2 - 0LDU Quito
Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between Fluminense and LDU Quito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | LDU Quito |
61.01% ( 1.28) | 22.21% ( -0.57) | 16.78% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 1.18) | 49.17% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( 1.06) | 71.24% ( -1.06) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( 0.84) | 15.65% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.32% ( 1.53) | 44.68% ( -1.53) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.18) | 42.61% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.04% ( -0.16) | 78.96% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Fluminense 60.99%
LDU Quito 16.78%
Draw 22.2%
| Fluminense | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.12% Total : 60.99% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.2% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.78% |
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2024 12.30am
Form Guide
