MX23RW : Tuesday, June 25 04:08:20| >> :60:2662:2662:
Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
LDU Quito

Arboleda (77')
Araujo (90')
FT
(aet)

Quinonez (24'), Ibarra (81'), Ade (90+1'), Guerrero (92')
Alvarado (48')
LDU Quito win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

LDU Quito

All competitions
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We say: Sao Paulo 1-0 LDU Quito (Sao Paulo advances on penalties)

 They have done it before and there is no reason to suggest that Sao Paulo cannot turn the tables in their favour once again come Thursday. While we expect a close match, we also believe that as the pressure begins to mount the experience of the Brazilians in these situations will give them a psychological edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.55%).

Result
Sao PauloDrawLDU Quito
57.21% (-0.651 -0.65) 23.74% (0.234 0.23) 19.05% (0.415 0.41)
Both teams to score 47.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-0.355 -0.36)51.95% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (-0.31 -0.31)73.69% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (-0.369 -0.37)17.96% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.633 -0.63)48.79% (0.632 0.63)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (0.265 0.27)41.54% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (0.235 0.23)78.03% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 57.19%
    LDU Quito 19.05%
    Draw 23.74%
Sao PauloDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.19%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.94% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.05%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito

Sao Paulo
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
LDU Quito
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
LDU Quito
2-1
Sao Paulo
Julio (2'), Ibarra (25')
Gonzalez (85')
Moura (80')
Rafinha (12'), Beraldo (45+1'), Luan (87')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
LDU Quito
4-2
Sao Paulo
Julio (36', 45+1'), Arce (76')
Zunino (33'), Piovi (37')
Brenner (60')
Nestor (90')
Mar 12, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Sao Paulo
3-0
LDU Quito
Reinaldo (14' pen.), Alves (15'), Gomes (61')
Reinaldo (26'), Juanfran (45'), Pablo (90')

Quinteros (26'), Guerra (37'), Ayala (41'), Valencia (76')
Sornoza (67')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
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Group Stage
Netherlands
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Austria
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Denmark
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Serbia
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Georgia
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Saturday, June 29
 
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Round of 16
Switzerland
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1st Group C
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Round of 16
Spain
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3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
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Round of 16
2nd Group D
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2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
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Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
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Wednesday, July 10
 
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Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
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> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111
> European Championship 2024 overview


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