Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Tigre

Juan (72'), Rato (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Retegui (62')
Leizza (23')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 25 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tigre

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

With first place basically assured, Sao Paulo will want to get through this match without any serious injuries, so we do not expect this to be a very intense game. However, the overall depth of Tricolor Paulista along with a solid defensive shape should be enough for them to claim a narrow victory against an opponent in Tigre who are struggling away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Tigre
52.4% ( 0)	24.31% ( 0.01)	23.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.59% (

-0.04)

49.41% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.55% (

-0.04)

71.45% (

0.04)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

-0.02)

18.82% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

-0.02)

50.25% (

0.02)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22% (

-0.03)

35.78% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44% (

-0.03)

72.55% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 52.4%

Tigre 23.29%

Draw 24.3%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.4%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 23.29%