Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio José Dellagiovanna
Tigre0 - 2Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Tigre and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Goias 0-4 Sao Paulo
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Sao Paulo |
33.94% ( 0.13) | 27.06% ( 0.02) | 39% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% ( -0.06) | 54.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( -0.05) | 76.11% ( 0.05) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( 0.06) | 30.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.34% ( 0.07) | 66.66% ( -0.07) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( -0.12) | 27.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.13% ( -0.15) | 62.87% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Tigre 33.94%
Sao Paulo 39%
Draw 27.06%
| Tigre | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.94% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39% |
How you voted: Tigre vs Sao Paulo
Tigre
15.4%Draw
23.1%Sao Paulo
61.5%13
Form Guide
