Brasileiro | Gameweek 36

Nov 5, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
3 - 1
Sao Paulo

Cano (48', 56', 59')
Nino (7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Luciano (30')
Rafinha (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Last Game: Ceara 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, October 31 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Sao Paulo
43.87% ( 0.45)	25.26% ( -0.26)	30.87% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 55.27% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

1.05)

48.2% (

-1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64% (

0.95)

70.35% (

-0.95)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

0.66)

21.95% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.77% (

0.99)

55.23% (

-0.99)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

0.4)

29.19% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

0.49)

65.13% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 43.87%

Sao Paulo 30.87%

Draw 25.26%

Fluminense	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.87%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.87%