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Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 21, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Coritiba

Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Coritiba

Calleri (2', 63'), Luciano (72')
Luizao (35'), Luciano (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cadorini (84')
Gabriel (36'), Natanael (37'), Chancellor (49'), Porfirio (87'), Gomes (90+3'), Martinez (90+4'), Henrique (90+4')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Coritiba
Sunday, October 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCoritiba
71.42% (0.627 0.63) 18.21% (-0.264 -0.26) 10.37% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 43.46% (-0.418 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (0.156 0.16)46.28% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (0.147 0.15)68.57% (-0.145 -0.14)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (0.21600000000001 0.22)11.63% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.34% (0.462 0.46)36.66% (-0.46 -0.46)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.18% (-0.594 -0.59)50.82% (0.596 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.78% (-0.406 -0.41)85.22% (0.40899999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 71.41%
    Coritiba 10.37%
    Draw 18.21%
Sao PauloDrawCoritiba
2-0 @ 13.68% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.81% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.28% (0.144 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.27% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.41%
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.21%
0-1 @ 4% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 10.37%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Coritiba

Sao Paulo
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Coritiba
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 12am
Coritiba
1-1
Sao Paulo
Manga (59')
Martinez (38'), Manga (45+3'), Paixao (71')
Calleri (4')
Diego (30'), Gomes (75'), Eder (85')
Jan 23, 2021 10pm
Sao Paulo
1-1
Coritiba
Luciano (59')
Luciano (21')
Sarrafiore (82')
Silva (70'), Galdezani (84')
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
Coritiba
1-1
Sao Paulo
Robson (6')
Robson (45+5'), Moura (68')
Reinaldo (69' pen.)
Juanfran (5'), Luciano (50'), Gomes (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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