Brasileiro | Gameweek 29

Oct 21, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Coritiba

Calleri (2', 63'), Luciano (72')
Luizao (35'), Luciano (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cadorini (84')
Gabriel (36'), Natanael (37'), Chancellor (49'), Porfirio (87'), Gomes (90+3'), Martinez (90+4'), Henrique (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Coritiba

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Coritiba
Sunday, October 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Coritiba
71.42% ( 0.63)	18.21% ( -0.26)	10.37% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 43.46% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

0.16)

46.28% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

0.15)

68.57% (

-0.14)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.36% (

0.22)

11.63% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.34% (

0.46)

36.66% (

-0.46)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.18% (

-0.59)

50.82% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.78% (

-0.41)

85.22% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 71.41%

Coritiba 10.37%

Draw 18.21%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Coritiba
2-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 71.41%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.56% Total : 18.21%	0-1 @ 4% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 10.37%