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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 22, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Molinas (62'), Brizuela (88' og.)
Blondel (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cabrera (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Tigre
Saturday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Tigre 1-0 Velez Sarsfield

 Both sides are bereft of confidence following their respective winless runs in the Primera Division, but with a new coach at the helm, we think that Tigre could be rejuvenated, and as a result, we believe they will go on to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
46.47% (2.085 2.09) 27.58% (-1.264 -1.26) 25.95% (-0.826 -0.83)
Both teams to score 45.28% (2.673 2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (3.669 3.67)59.63% (-3.674 -3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (2.728 2.73)79.96% (-2.732 -2.73)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (2.799 2.8)25.7% (-2.802 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (3.656 3.66)60.61% (-3.66 -3.66)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (1.349 1.35)39.05% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (1.247 1.25)75.77% (-1.251 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 46.46%
    Velez Sarsfield 25.95%
    Draw 27.57%
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-0 @ 9.27% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.489 0.49)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.399 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.505 0.51)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.296 0.3)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.233 0.23)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 10.03% (-1.48 -1.48)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.37 0.37)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.994 -0.99)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 25.95%

How you voted: Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield

Tigre
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Velez Sarsfield
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Tigre
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Armoa (6'), Colidio (22')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Velez Sarsfield
3-2
Tigre
Florentin (26'), Janson (33' pen.), Fernandez (40')
Janson (19'), Ortega (50'), Sosa (90+8')
Obando (23'), Prieto (87')
Cabrera (63'), Prieto (80')
Mar 4, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 21
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
Tigre
Abram (42')
Gianetti (71'), Gimenez (88')
Gonzalez (51', 78')
Prediger (21'), Galmarini (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield24129335152045
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2410682525036
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra248972525033
13GimnasiaGimnasia248882120132
14BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
15EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
16TigreTigre247982628-230
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2461172325-229
18LanusLanus2461172228-629
19San Lorenzo237791921-228
20Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Defensa y JusticiaDefensa246992431-727
23Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
24Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
25BanfieldBanfield2458112130-923
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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