Both sides are bereft of confidence following their respective winless runs in the Primera Division, but with a new coach at the helm, we think that Tigre could be rejuvenated, and as a result, we believe they will go on to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
46.47% ( 2.09)	27.58% ( -1.26)	25.95% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 45.28% (

2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.36% (

3.67)

59.63% (

-3.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.04% (

2.73)

79.96% (

-2.73)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

2.8)

25.7% (

-2.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.38% (

3.66)

60.61% (

-3.66)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.94% (

1.35)

39.05% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.22% (

1.25)

75.77% (

-1.25)

Score Analysis

Tigre 46.46%

Velez Sarsfield 25.95%

Draw 27.57%

Tigre	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.51) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.09% Total : 46.46%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 10.03% ( -1.48) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.37) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.99) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.49% Total : 25.95%