CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg
Feb 23, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito1 - 0Fluminense
Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between LDU Quito and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 LDU Quito (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 28 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
Saturday, October 28 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Fluminense
Friday, December 22 at 6pm in Club World Cup
Friday, December 22 at 6pm in Club World Cup
Goals
for
for
51
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 40%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Fluminense |
34.09% ( -8.01) | 25.91% ( 0.36) | 40% ( 7.66) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% ( -1.11) | 50.04% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( -1) | 72.02% ( 1) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( -4.92) | 28.02% ( 4.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.33% ( -6.72) | 63.67% ( 6.72) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 3.92) | 24.66% ( -3.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.82% ( 5.2) | 59.18% ( -5.19) |
| Score Analysis |
LDU Quito 34.09%
Fluminense 40%
Draw 25.91%
| LDU Quito | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.88) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -1.05)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -1.5)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -1.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -1.09)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.53)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.09% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 1.4) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 1.03)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 1.59)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.85)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 1)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.42)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.43)Other @ 2.69% Total : 40% |
Form Guide
