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Copa Libertadores
Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 3
Junior

Hugo (43')
Tiquinho (45+1'), Tche (90'), Santos (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Bacca (13' pen., 41'), Fuentes (28')
Pacheco (45+1'), Ceballos (75'), Albornoz (82')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Atletico Junior

All competitions
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Junior
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawAtletico Junior
63.22% (-0.904 -0.9) 21.85% (0.286 0.29) 14.93% (0.621 0.62)
Both teams to score 45.49% (0.626 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (0.031000000000006 0.03)50.93% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.028000000000002 0.03)72.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (-0.282 -0.28)15.52% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (-0.533 -0.53)44.43% (0.535 0.53)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.85% (0.919 0.92)46.15% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (0.7 0.7)81.84% (-0.697 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 63.22%
    Atletico Junior 14.93%
    Draw 21.84%
BotafogoDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 12.43% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.72% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 63.22%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.84%
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 14.93%

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5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
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10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144
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