League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16
May 17, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk1 - 0Shamrock
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Waterford 4-1 Dundalk
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
24.37% ( 0.27) | 26.96% ( 0.27) | 48.67% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 45.64% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.5% ( -0.74) | 58.5% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.92% ( -0.58) | 79.08% ( 0.58) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% ( -0.17) | 39.84% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.49% ( -0.16) | 76.51% ( 0.16) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( -0.57) | 24.13% ( 0.57) |