Drogheda

2 - 1

Dundalk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.