We said: Drogheda United 1-2 Dundalk
Dundalk have beaten the bottom two teams in the division in their last two matches, and we can envisage them having some joy against another relegation-threatened opponent on Friday.
Drogheda will feel confident that they have enough about themselves to avoid the dreaded drop this season, but Doherty's side do appear set for a real dog-fight.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dundalk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.