League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 24
May 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry3 - 0Dundalk
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bohemians 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Dundalk 2-1 Cork City
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
51.55% ( -0) | 26.46% ( 0) | 22% |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
