League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 12

Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Oriel Park

Dundalk
3 - 2
Drogheda

O'Kane (23'), Hoban (28'), Martin (90+1')
Benson (83'), Tulloch (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rooney (54'), Draper (72')
Deegan (33'), Grimes (42'), Markey (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Drogheda United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions

Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Drogheda United

All competitions

Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 Bohemians
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	Drogheda United
52.31% ( -0.04)	25.11% ( 0.02)	22.58% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.9% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

-0.06)

53.27% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

-0.05)

74.82% (

0.05)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

-0.04)

20.36% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.23% (

-0.06)

52.77% (

0.06)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4% (

-0.02)

38.6% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.65% (

-0.02)

75.34% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Dundalk 52.3%

Drogheda United 22.58%

Draw 25.1%

Dundalk	Draw	Drogheda United
1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.3%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.58%