League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 12
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk3 - 2Drogheda
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Drogheda United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 Bohemians
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
52.31% ( -0.04) | 25.11% ( 0.02) | 22.58% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.9% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( -0.06) | 53.27% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( -0.05) | 74.82% ( 0.05) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( -0.04) | 20.36% ( 0.04) |