League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23

Jul 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

United Park

Drogheda
1 - 0
Dundalk

Williams (1')
Heeney (26'), Rooney (34'), Weir (35'), Williams (44'), Nugent (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Benson (43'), Kelly (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Drogheda United and Dundalk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Drogheda United 0-2 Dundalk

With little room for error and the chance to reduce the gap to the league leaders, we do not see this in-form Dundalk side faltering on Friday and expect them to return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Drogheda United	Draw	Dundalk
17.08% ( 0.63)	25.14% ( 0.49)	57.78% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 40.98% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.52% (

-0.8)

59.48% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.16% (

-0.62)

79.84% (

0.62)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.63% (

0.34)

48.37% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.5% (

0.25)

83.5% (

-0.24)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37% (

-0.75)

20.63% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.81% (

-1.21)

53.19% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Drogheda United 17.08%

Dundalk 57.78%

Draw 25.13%

Drogheda United	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.08%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 15.75% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 12.43% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.78%