Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.