Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
