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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 27
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
8 - 1
Changchun

Cao (8'), Liangming (25'), Abreu (33' pen., 41', 50' pen.), Hao (72'), Ziming (89', 90+4')
Soares (14')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Beric (44')
Rosic (13'), Mincheng (17'), Abdugheni (71')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-3 Beijing Guoan
Friday, September 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 3-4 Shanghai Port
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
65.49% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02) 18.28% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 16.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.81% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)32.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.22% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)53.78% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.76% (-0.012 -0.01)9.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.76% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)31.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.87% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)69.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 65.49%
    Changchun Yatai 16.23%
    Draw 18.28%
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 65.49%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33%
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.28%
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 16.23%

Head to Head
May 17, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 12
Changchun
3-2
Beijing Guoan
Serginho (4'), Guilherme (67'), Zulj (90+9' pen.)
Guilherme (74')
Abreu (30', 90+3')
Liangming (76'), Yennaris (80'), Wang (90+3')
Sep 22, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 26
Changchun
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Zulj (34')
Zhang (12'), Teng (17'), Mincheng (90+2')
Abreu (13')
Soares (13'), Wang (47'), Abreu (90'), Naibijiang (90+9')
Soares (0')
Jun 2, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 11
Beijing Guoan
4-3
Changchun
Souza (29', 41'), Yang (66'), Kang (87')
Dabao (90+6')
Leonardo (22', 49'), Long (65')
Zulj (75'), Wu (90+4')
Dec 15, 2022 7am
Gameweek 31
Beijing Guoan
3-0
Changchun
Ziming (31', 51'), Zhang (63' pen.)
Oct 24, 2022 8.30am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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