Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11
Jun 2, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan4 - 3Changchun
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-2 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, May 28 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Sunday, May 28 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Changchun 0-3 Shanghai Port
Monday, May 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Monday, May 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
56.53% ( -0.38) | 22.27% ( 0.2) | 21.2% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( -0.63) | 42.99% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( -0.63) | 65.39% ( 0.63) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.97% ( -0.34) | 15.02% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.65) | 43.5% ( 0.65) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% ( -0.18) | 34.15% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.16% ( -0.19) | 70.84% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Beijing Guoan 56.53%
Changchun Yatai 21.2%
Draw 22.26%
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.2% |
How you voted: Beijing Guoan vs Changchun
Beijing Guoan
83.3%Draw
16.7%Changchun Yatai
0.0%6
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2022 7am
Oct 24, 2022 8.30am
Jul 22, 2021 9.30am
Oct 21, 2018 8.30am
Form Guide
