Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
May 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Changchun3 - 2Beijing Guoan
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Beijing Guoan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shanghai Port 5-2 Changchun
Friday, May 10 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, May 10 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 3-2 Meizhou Hakka
Saturday, May 11 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Saturday, May 11 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
20.81% ( 0.2) | 23.56% ( -0.12) | 55.63% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.2% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( 0.7) | 49.03% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% ( 0.63) | 71.11% ( -0.63) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% ( 0.6) | 37.96% ( -0.6) |