Chinese Super League | Gameweek 26
Sep 22, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Changchun1 - 1Beijing Guoan
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Beijing Guoan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-0 Changchun
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-1 Zhejiang
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
26.1% ( -0.7) | 24.2% ( 0.13) | 49.7% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( -1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% ( -1.11) | 46.44% ( 1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% ( -1.05) | 68.72% ( 1.05) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% ( -1.13) | 31.77% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% ( -1.32) | 68.19% ( 1.32) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.26% ( -0.2) | 18.74% ( 0.2) |