Chinese Super League | Gameweek 23
Aug 20, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Changchun3 - 1Cangzhou
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Cangzhou Mighty Lions.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Changchun 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao
Saturday, August 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Saturday, August 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Shandong 4-0 Cangzhou
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
45.5% ( -0.84) | 25.21% ( 0.43) | 29.28% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% ( -1.67) | 48.74% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% ( -1.54) | 70.85% ( 1.53) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% ( -1.05) | 21.43% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.55% ( -1.65) | 54.44% ( 1.65) |
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.42% ( -0.57) | 30.57% ( 0.57) |